Situational Slam CBB
(NCAAB) Rams (VCU) vs. Lobos (UNM),
Point Spread: -2.50 | -110.00 Lobos (UNM) (Home)
Result: Win
#706 ASA PLAY ON New Mexico -2.5 over VCU, Thursday at 9 PM ET - VCU is 9-2 on the season but they’ve played one of the easier schedules on the country (301st SOS per KenPom). They’ve faced on only 2 top 100 teams this season (1-1 record) and 8 of their 9 wins have come vs teams that rank 150th or lower. On top of that, this is their first true road game of the season as they head to the Pit, one of the tougher places to play in the country. New Mexico hasn’t left home this entire month while VCU played in Vegas on Saturday vs Colorado State and now travel to Albuquerque for this one. The Lobos have played the more difficult schedule to date and have already beaten 2 top 100 teams (UCLA and USC both on neutral courts). VCU’s defensive numbers for the season are solid, however, they’ve faced only 2 top 100 offense (efficiency) so far this season and they split those 2 games beating Miami FL and losing to Nevada. Tonight they face a potent New Mexico offense that is averaging nearly 90 PPG (8th best scoring offense in the nation). VCU thrives at turning teams over leading to extra possessions but New Mexico has done a very good job at protecting the ball (70th in offensive turnover rate) so that may not work tonight on the road. The Lobos have won 19 of their last 23 home games and this is a huge game for them with 3 of their next 4 coming on the road. Lay the small spread with New Mexico.