Stephen Nover's Under-the-Radar Bookie Crusher
(NCAAB) Austin Peay vs. Tennessee State,
Point Spread: -4.50 | -110.00 Tennessee State (Home)
Result: Loss
Tennessee State is much superior to Austin Peay and has a schedule advantage in this quarterfinal Ohio Valley Conference Tournament game being played in Nashville.

Austin Peay upset Tennessee Tech on Wednesday as a four-point 'dog, 92-72. Chris Horton had a monster performance with 37 points and 21 rebounds. But Tennessee Tech really beat themselves shooting 38.7 percent from the floor and 17 percent from 3-point range after leading the Ohio Valley in offensive efficiency during the regular season.

Austin Peay ranked seventh in the conference in defensive efficiency. The Ohio Valley is not exactly known for being a good defensive conference either. Tennessee State defeated the Governors by 14 points during the regular season and catches Austin Peay without rest savoring an upset victory. The Tigers are a 20-win team and won't let Horton beat them.

The Governors are 8-20 ATS following a straight-up win and 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games. The Tigers, by contrast, are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games.