I'm going Under this total based on the injury report. 
Edmonton is minus superstar Connor McDavid. Tampa Bay will be without Steven Stamkos, Nikita Kucherov and Anthony Cirelli. 
The Oilers scored five goals in their first game without McDavid. That was against the Blackhawks, though. Tampa Bay gives up the fifth-fewest goals in the NHL. 
Look for the pace to slow down with McDavid out. 
Kucherov and Stamkos are the Lightning's two leading goal scorers.