I'm not buying Seth Lugo and the Royals as an underdog against the beat-up Twins, who are projected to give Zebby Matthews his first big-league start here.

Lugo is having his finest season going 13-6 with a 2.72 ERA. He's been outstanding on the road with an 8-2 record and 2.37 ERA during his past dozen away starts. 

The Twins already are without Carlos Correia and could be minus Byron Buxton, who suffered a hip injury last night. Minnesota has scored 3 or fewer runs in five of its last eight games.

Matthews struggled in four Triple-A starts with a 5.68 ERA before getting the call-up due to injuries to Joe Ryan and Chris Paddack.