Stephen Nover's CBB Tuesday Top Ticket - 50-29-1 (63%) CBB Run!
(NCAAB) Saint Mary's-California vs. Pacific,
Point Spread: 21.50 | -109.00 Pacific (Home)
Result: Loss
Saint Mary's probably could name its score. The Gaels did that when these two teams met on Jan. 25. The Gaels embarrassed Pacific, 76-28.

So why back Pacific in the rematch besides the Tigers being at home this time?

The timing. Not only can the Gaels be forgiven if they enter this matchup overconfident, but it's also a huge flat spot for them.

Saint Mary's is off a monster, 64-62, road upset victory against its major rival, Gonzaga, this past Saturday night. It's going to be extremely difficult for the Gaels to get motivated for this matchup.

The Gaels are 18-6 and lead the West Coast Conference with a 9-0 mark. However, they are just mediocre point spread-wise with an 11-11 ATS record.

It's asking a lot for Saint Mary's to cover this large number given the situation and that its offense averages just 72.5 points. The Gaels rank 254th in field goal percentage and 289th in free throw percentage.