Stephen Nover's WNBA June Total of the Month - 68% WNBA Winners!
(WNBA) Aces (LV) vs. Mystics (WSH),
Total: 170.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Loss
Normally, my first look is to the Under for early-time start games like this one. But the oddsmaker is too low on this total.

Las Vegas is the No. 2 scoring team in the WNBA at 87.7 points. The Aces' offense is going to get even better as star point guard Chelsea Gray shakes off the rust. This is her fourth game back from injury. Washington has a below-average defense.

The Aces' defense has regressed from last season. Las Vegas is eighth in scoring defense and last in 3-point defense. The Mystics are the second-most accurate 3-point shooting team in the WNBA.

Washington's offense and pace is much different than it was three weeks ago. The Mystics are averaging 86.6 points in regulation during their past eight games. They had not broken the 80-point barrier during their first 10 games.

The Mystics have picked up their tempo. The Aces love to run the floor. They rank first in pace this month. So expect an up-tempo game, important for an Over.