This is a 10* TOTAL BLOODBATH on the OVER Braves/Phillies.

Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, including in the Braves 4-2 series-opening win here yesterday, but I'm finally expecting some offensive fireworks on Wednesday.

Philly has now seen the total go UNDER the number in six straight. Note that it's seen the total go OVER the number in three of its last four in trying to avenge a home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent.

The Braves go with 20 year old rookie AJ Smith-Shawver, who is 1-0 with a 2.03 ERA. Clearly the sample size is too small to make any serious judgements at this point, but regression appears imminent to me here in this difficult road venue.

The home side counters with Aaron Nola, who is a pedestrian 6-5 with a 4.66 ERA.

I think we'll see an early exit for each starter and I think these bullpens then get blown up.

This number is low, the play is the OVER.

Good luck, NP