This is a 10* AL TOTAL OF MONTH on the OVER Royals/Guardians.

These teams have been playing to some lower-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening.

The Royals have lost four straight, including the opener of this one yesterday by a score of 6-1. THey've seen the total go UNDER in two straight now, but note despite the lost yesterday, KC has still seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last 12 after three or more straight losses in a row.

Cleveland has been trading wins and losses over its last five games and has seen the total go UNDER in three of its last four.

Daniel Lynch is 2-3 with a 4.14 ERA for the Royals, while Aaron Civale is 2-2 with a 2.96 ERA for the Guardians. These guys have actually been decent, but this just a case of each being in the wrong place at the wrong time.

A great situational play backed by strong trends. The play is the OVER.

(This is the abbreviated version of my analysis. If you contact me via social media, we can DM and speak directly in length about any contest.)

Good luck, NP