This is a 10* CONFERENCE-USA GOW on Louisana Tech.

New Mexico State 5-3 overall, but just 2-2 on the road.

Louisiana Tech is 3-5, and just 2-2 at home.

With four games remaining, time is running out for the Bulldogs to become "bowl eligible" this season, and here's a home game that they're actually favored to win.

This has become the most important game of the season for Louisiana Tech, in fact I'd argue it's "do or die."

Conversely, after three straight SU/ATS victories in a row, the Aggies are now primed for a letdown here finally in my estimation (and note that New Mexico State is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row.)

With four games remaining, the Aggies are going to get caught looking ahead here and a tiny bit complacent, and like I just outlined, the Bulldogs will be risking life and limb here to ensure a victory.

I say the more motivated home side pulls away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover.

Lay the points, the play is LOUISIANA TECH.

Good luck, NP