10* NON-CONF TOTAL OF MONTH - 288-247 (+$21,000) NBA
(NBA) Milwaukee vs. Golden State,
Total: 226.50 | -107.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a 10* NON-CONF TOM on the OVER Bucks/Warriors.

Despite who is on the court today, I think this will be more of a wide-open offensive affair, rather than a shutdown defensive one.

That said, there are Giannis props available here early on, so that would lead you to believe that he'll be in tonight.

But as I stated off the top, this is a great "situational" play in my opinion, and one that falls directly into my "wheelhouse."

Milwaukee is 16-14 on the road and it's won six straight since the All Star break. It won 113-106 at home over the Clippers without Giannis in the line-up. He may or may not play tonight, but Damian Lillard has looked great of late for the Bucks, and it's just the "next man up" mentality anyways here, as this pick is based on the overall situation.

And for the Warriors, they've also looked better since the All Star break. That said, they're off a humbling 140-88 loss at Boston (after winning three straight on the road), and note that GS has in fact seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 12 off a SU/ATS road loss in which it was held to 89 or fewer points in.

With each team pushing the pace from start to finish like I suspect, all signs do indeed point to this total flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later.

Good luck, NP