This is a 10* RUNLINE BK on the Mariners.

Seattle has won four of its last five after winning the opener of this interleague series last night by a score of 2-1.

Once again the Mariners are getting little respect from the oddsmakers in my opinion, as the public will be quick to back the Braves almost every game, and almost every time after a loss.

But further regression is imminent for Atlanta in my opinion. And regression is definitely in store for Reynaldo Lopez (2-0, 0.72 ERA, 0.88 WHIP) who has been unrealistically perfect for the Braves to this point.

He'll be opposed by Luis Castillo (2-4, 4.15), who is coming off a second straight strong outing, giving up two runs and striking out six over six frames in a victory over the Rangers on Thursday.

Look for Castillo's progression to continue here in what I feel is a favorable matchup.

While the outright is possible, I feel the overall best value here is to for sure lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance.

And that's the play, SEATTLE on the RUNLINE option.

Good luck, NP