This is a 10* NFC EAST TOM on the UNDER Washington/Dallas.

Week 18 is all about betting great "situations" in my opinion. No need to overthink anything, I employ the "KISS" method most of the time (Keep It Simple Stupid!)

Washington has exceeded expectations this year. Rookie QB Jayden Daniels has exceeded expectations to this point as well. The Commanders clinched a playoff spot last week, and I'm predicting a natural letdown spot here.

The last thing the Commanders can afford to do here is put any of their key players in danger.

The Cowboys are off the 41-7 loss at Philly last week, and Dallas has seen the total go OVER in three straight. Note though that looking back the Boys have seen the total go UNDER in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row.

Everything points to this one being decided by field position and the men in the trenches and because of that, I'm on the UNDER.

Good luck, NP