AAA's WORLD FAMOUS 10* *BIG TIGER!*
(NCAAB) George Washington vs. Dayton,
Point Spread: -5.00 | -106.00 Dayton (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on Dayton.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Momentum carries over: Dayton recovered from a rare setback at La Salle to beat Davidson 80-74 on Tuesday, but it was the way the team closed the second half which leads us to believe the Flyers will be in for another big performance today. The Wildcats were a tough opponent, but a 19-1 run in the second half pushed Dayton to the six-point victory.

Charles Cooke expected to play: Cooke is the leading scorer on the Flyers, the team prevailed without him in the line-up vs. Davidson, as Scoochie Smith filled the void with 18 points. Cooke was hopeful to return to that game and is expected to be in this one (note, whether Cooke plays or not, we still love this selection as we feel that home court advantage can not be overlooked here).

Revenge factor: The last time these team's met, George Washington pulled off the 65-64 OT victory on February 6th, 2015.

ATS statistics: Note that the Colonials are a poor 2-3 ATS on the road already this year and just 2-3 ATS after scoring 80 points or more, while the Flyers are 11-7 ATS their last 18 after scoring 80 points or more and 20-17 ATS in their last 37 in front of the home town crowd.

The bottom line: As listed above, a bunch of favorable factors collide for DAYTON in this one.

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