PREMIUM
AAA's SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION - Off 3-0 Monday SWEEP!
(NHL) Dallas vs. St. Louis,
Money Line: -130.00 St. Louis (Home)
Result: Win
Money Line: -130.00 St. Louis (Home)
Result: Win
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on St. Louis Blues.
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a couple of really basic factors:
Revenge: While St. Louis has in fact taken two of three from the Stars this year, the Blues would lose the last one, a 3-0 setback at Dallas on December 27th.
Letdown spot: After winning four straight, including a 3-2 OT victory at Nashville just last night, there's no question that in some small way this sets up as a bit of a letdown spot of the visitors.
ATS statistics: Note that Dallas is a poor 5-6 (-4.4 units) already this season after a three game unbeaten streak, while St. Louis is 15-11 (+4.1 units) vs. teams with winning records.
The bottom line: No need to overanalyze this one, we think the Stars finally run out of gas tonight and the BLUES step up and take advantage.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a couple of really basic factors:
Revenge: While St. Louis has in fact taken two of three from the Stars this year, the Blues would lose the last one, a 3-0 setback at Dallas on December 27th.
Letdown spot: After winning four straight, including a 3-2 OT victory at Nashville just last night, there's no question that in some small way this sets up as a bit of a letdown spot of the visitors.
ATS statistics: Note that Dallas is a poor 5-6 (-4.4 units) already this season after a three game unbeaten streak, while St. Louis is 15-11 (+4.1 units) vs. teams with winning records.
The bottom line: No need to overanalyze this one, we think the Stars finally run out of gas tonight and the BLUES step up and take advantage.
AAA Sports
