This is an 8* SITUATIONAL PITCHING MISMATCH on the Texas Rangers.

Veteran Red Sox' hurler Clay Buchholz comes in off a couple of decent efforts, while the Rangers' Martin Perez has struggled in two straight outings. We're not reading too much into these recent results and think that the home side has a clear advantage in this particular matchup. Buchholz (3-7, 5.83 ERA) would give up three runs off four hits and a walk over five innings in a loss to the White Sox on Tuesday. For Buchholz, the performance represented perhaps his best outing of the year. The struggling starter has now given up 14 home runs on the season and his 1.8 HR/9 is the worst of his career. Not surprisingly, Buchholz has struggled in this position all season, posting a poor 6.14 ERA on the road. Perez (6-4, 3.57) gave up four runs off eight hits over 5.1 innings in a fortunate no decision vs. St. Louis on Sunday. After four straight quality starts, Perez has now given up eight runs in 12.1 innings of work. Perez though has to be feeling pretty confident that he can bounce back in this spot as he's already a solid 3-1 with a 4.58 ERA in front of the home town crowd thus far. In our opinion, this is a much bigger mismatch than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe, the value has definitely swung in favor of the home side. Play on TEXAS.

AAA Sports