AAA's VERY EARLY 3-GM MLB REPORT (AMAZING 102-74 +$14,537 MLB Y-T-D!)
(MLB) Chi White Sox vs. Houston,
Money Line: -169.00 Houston (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 7* play on the Houston Astros.

No need to overthink this one. Miguel Gonzalez is struggling, while for the most part Mike Fiers has been excellent. This is a much bigger pitching mismatch than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe, indeed swinging the value onto the home side in this matchup. Gonzalez (1-3, 5.17 ERA) was rocked for eight earned runs off ten hits and three walks over 5.1 innings in a 10-8 loss to the Blue Jays on Saturday. Gonzalez has now given up a total of 15 earned runs combined in two of his last three trips to the hill and obviously draws a tough matchup throwing opposite Fiers (5-3, 4.41) who earned a no-decision vs. the Royals on Saturday, allowing three runs (two earned) off nine hits over 4.1 innings. Despite the mediocre effort, Fiers has now allowed two or fewer earned runs in four of his last five starts and he has to be feeling especially confident in this spot as he's posted a very respectable 4-2, 3.23 ERA in front of the home town crowd thus far. Gonzalez is heading to the bullpen after this start, we simply can't see the struggling hurler "flipping a switch." Lay the price with confidence on the ASTROS.

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