AAA's BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT (+$12K MLB Y-T-D!)
(MLB) Pittsburgh vs. St. Louis,
Money Line: -186.00 St. Louis (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 5* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the St. Louis Cardinals.

Sometimes a favorite is a favorite for a reason and in this case, we believe the home side should in fact be a much larger one. The visitors hand the ball to the inconsistent Jonathon Niese (6-6, 5.07 ERA) who was rocked for five runs off nine hits over 4.2 innings in a loss to the Mariners on Tuesday. Niese has now given up four earned runs in each of his past four starts and has allowed 19 homers in just 16 outings this year (seven of which have come in his past four trips to the hill). Note that Niese has been particularly horrible in this spot all year, posting a poor 4.26 ERA in "day" games and an even worse 5.32 ERA on the road. The home side counters with Carlos Martinez (7-5, 2.83) who comes in off an unfortunate no-decision vs. the Royals on Wednesday, going six shutout frames, allowing eight hits and one walk with three K's. It was his fourth straight start in which he's posted at least 12 ground ball outs and he'll now be looking to improve upon his already impressive 2.94 ERA in all day contests this season. We think the hard-hitting home side takes full advantage and expect Martinez to outduel his struggling counterpart. Lay the price with confidence on the CARDINALS.

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