AAA's 3-GM MLB REPORT (16-6, 73% L22 MLB & 111-80 +$14,215 Y-T-D!)
(MLB) Detroit vs. Toronto,
Money Line: -110.00 Toronto (Home)
Result: Win
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Blue Jays.

After losing the first two in Cleveland, Detroit bounced back in the finale, beating the Tribe 12-2 yesterday. This is the final series for both teams before the All-Star break and we think the visitors have a bit of a letdown here in the opener. The Tigers send Justin Verlander (8-6, 4.11 ERA) to the hill, he comes in off a decent outing vs. the soft-hitting Rays on Saturday, giving up two runs off four hits over seven innings. Verlander has been inconsistent of late though, as he'd been rocked hard in his previous start. Note that he owns a pedestrian 4.08 ERA on the road thus far. Toronto has won five straight and has woken up at the plate again. With a four game series to close the first half, we think the home side continues to build momentum into the break. Marco Estrada has been shutdown until after the All Star game, meaning that Drew Hutchinson will get his shot again tonight. Hutchinson of course has a ton of experience in the major leagues and was just recently recalled from the minors, where he had posted a very respectable 2.78 ERA and 97 K's in 87.1 innings of work. Verlander has steadily regressed as the season has progressed and we don't think he has any advantage over Hutchinson here (neither do the oddsmakers clearly). All signs point to the visitors coming in flat after their big win over Cleveland, while Toronto looks to assert itself in the opener. In our professional opinion, this is the very definition of "great line value." Play on TORONTO.

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