AAA's 3-GM MLB REPORT (16-6, 73% L22 MLB & 111-80 +$14,215 Y-T-D!)
(MLB) Seattle vs. Kansas City,
Money Line: -127.00 Kansas City (Home)
Result: Win
This is an 8* play on the Kansas City Royals.

The Royals return home in a foul mood after getting swept in Toronto. Obviously both Seattle and Kansas City will be anxious to close out the first half with a winning series, but we think this pitching matchup favors the home side. The Mariners send the struggling James Paxton (2-3, 4.24 ERA) to the hill, he was fortunate to earn a victory vs. the Orioles on Saturday despite giving up four runs off nine hits with two walks over 5.2 innings of work. Paxton has regressed as the season has progressed and has now given up 12 earned runs over his last 18.1 innings of work. Note that he's been particularly horrible on the road this year as well, going just 1-2 with a 5.19 ERA. The home side counters with the red hot Danny Duffy (4-1, 3.11) who gave up two runs off seven hits while striking out eight and walking none over 8.2 innings in a victory over Philadelphia on Saturday. Over his last 16.2 innings of work, Duffy has allowed just four runs (2.16 ERA) and struck out 16 with zero walks. He's now struck out at least eight in five of his last six starts and in three of his last six outings he's had at least eight K's and no walks. Duffy owns a very respectable, 3-1, 3.96 ERA in all night games this year. We're giving Duffy the big nod in this matchup and that's going to be more than enough to tip the scales in favor of the home side tonight. Play on the ROYALS.

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