This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on the Cincinnati Reds.

With an over/under line of 9, clearly the oddsmakers are expecting some runs in this National League contest. One of these starters has been excellent over the last month and a half, while the other has steadily regressed. The visitors hand the ball to Matt Garza (1-2, 5.54 ERA) who most recently was shelled for seven runs off eight hits over just 4.1 innings in a loss to the Nationals on Wednesday. Garza looked decent in his first two outings of the year, but he's now given up 15 earned runs in his last 16 innings of work and has dropped two in a row. Note that Garza has been particularly horrible on the road this season, 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA thus far. The home side counters with Anthony DeSclafani (3-0, 2.23) who gave up three runs off eight hits while striking out six over six innings in a victory over the Cubs on Wednesday. Since returning from the DL on June 10th, DeSclafani has gone 3-0 with a very respectable 2.23 ERA. In five of his last six games he's worked at least six frames and in three of his outings he's worked into the seventh. And note that DeSclafani has been particularly sharp at home, going 1-0 with a minuscule 0.64 ERA. When taking into account what we feel to be a big talent discrepancy on the mound today, there's no question we're getting the REDS at a great price in this clear pitching mismatch.

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