PREMIUM
AAA's FRIDAY NIGHT 3-GAME DESTRUCTION PASS (67% in Wk 5 & 71% in Wk 6!)
(NCAAF) Mississippi State vs. BYU,
Point Spread: 7.00 | -105.00 Mississippi State (Away)
Result: Push
Point Spread: 7.00 | -105.00 Mississippi State (Away)
Result: Push
This is a 5* play on Mississippi State.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant ATS statistics:
Note that Mississippi State is 7-4 ATS in its last 11 as an underdog, 7-5 ATS in its last 12 road games and 13-8 ATS in its last 21 when playing with six or less days rest, while BYU is just 5-7 ATS in its last 12 after two or more consecutive SU victories and only 2-3 ATS in its last five as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range.
The bottom line: While we won't be so bold as to predict an outright upset, all of the numbers point to this one coming down to the wire, so grab as many points as you can. Play on MISSISSIPPI STATE.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant ATS statistics:
Note that Mississippi State is 7-4 ATS in its last 11 as an underdog, 7-5 ATS in its last 12 road games and 13-8 ATS in its last 21 when playing with six or less days rest, while BYU is just 5-7 ATS in its last 12 after two or more consecutive SU victories and only 2-3 ATS in its last five as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range.
The bottom line: While we won't be so bold as to predict an outright upset, all of the numbers point to this one coming down to the wire, so grab as many points as you can. Play on MISSISSIPPI STATE.
AAA Sports
