AAA's THU NIGHT *Bears/Packers* FAN APPRECIATION ROUT - PRODUCED PROFIT ALL SIX WEEKS SO FAR!
(NFL) Chicago vs. Green Bay,
Point Spread: -7.50 | -101.00 Green Bay (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 5* FAN APPRECIATION ROUT on the Green Bay Packers.

REASONING: Note, we jumped on the Packers early and have unfortunately been saddled with -9 and that's since dropped to around 7.5 because of the news of Green Bay RB Eddie Lacy's injury. We still really like this play though as we're expecting Green Bay QB Aaron Rogers to finally break out with a big performance against this suspect Chicago secondary.

All eyes will be on Rogers tonight with Lacy sidelined. Lacy though has struggled and with him out of the equation, Rogers will have the green light to start distributing the ball. Last week the Packers fell 30-16 at home to the Cowboys and the offense turned it over four times. The defense is banged up, but before allowing 157 rushing yards to Ezekiel Elliot last week, the rush defense had been ranked No. 1 in the league. Clearly that unit catches a break this week in facing the anemic Bears' run game. And that of course is going to take make Chicago's already one-dimensional offense, even more so. Note that the Packers have allowed 22.6 PPG thus far, ranked 16th in the league.

Chicago blew a 13-0 lead and fell 17-16 to the Jags last week. The Bears are 1-5 and are already looking ahead to next season. The short week always favors the home side and we think that will definitely be the case here against a Chicago team that's searching for identity on both sides of the ball. The Bears are led by QB Brian Hoyer, who has actually been decent, throwing for 300 yards or more in all of his starts. But despite that, Chicago is still last in the league in scoring with just 16.8 PPG. The defense is ranked 19th, conceding 23.8 PPG.

The bottom line: Note that Chicago is just 7-15 ATS in its last 22 against the NFC North, while Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last six following an ATS setback. As stated above, Green Bay's injured defense catches a break this week and with Rogers looking to atone for some early sub-par play, we're expecting a wire-to-wire beatdown. Play on the PACKERS.

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