PREMIUM
AAA's ALL EARLY 3-GM TOTALS REPORT (100% w/ TOTAL REPORT, INSANE 26-11, 70% RUN!)
(NFL) New Orleans vs. Kansas City,
Total: 51.50 | -108.00 Over
Result: Win
Total: 51.50 | -108.00 Over
Result: Win
This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the New Orleans Saints and the Kansas City Chiefs.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily off strong and relevant O/U ATS statistics:
Note that New Orleans has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last eight as a road dog in the 3.5 to 7 points range, in three of its last four off a win against a division rival and in two of its last three against teams with winning records, while Kansas City has seen the total dip below the number in 11 of its last 17 at home, in 15 of its last 24 when playing the role of favorite and in six of its last eight off a win against a division rival.
The bottom line: It's a tough stretch for New Orleans, which has won two straight and which has the Seahawks to contend with next Sunday. After beating the Chargers and enjoying their bye, the Saints then just beat rival Carolina 41-38 last week. Now the team transitions to the tough confines of Arrow Head Stadium. The stage is set for a classic "letdown" in our opinion. And the last thing that KC wants to do is get into a "track meet" with the Saints, so it's safe to say that the Chiefs will be looking to slow this one down and control the tempo, keeping Drew Brees off the field of play for as long possible. Play the UNDER.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily off strong and relevant O/U ATS statistics:
Note that New Orleans has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last eight as a road dog in the 3.5 to 7 points range, in three of its last four off a win against a division rival and in two of its last three against teams with winning records, while Kansas City has seen the total dip below the number in 11 of its last 17 at home, in 15 of its last 24 when playing the role of favorite and in six of its last eight off a win against a division rival.
The bottom line: It's a tough stretch for New Orleans, which has won two straight and which has the Seahawks to contend with next Sunday. After beating the Chargers and enjoying their bye, the Saints then just beat rival Carolina 41-38 last week. Now the team transitions to the tough confines of Arrow Head Stadium. The stage is set for a classic "letdown" in our opinion. And the last thing that KC wants to do is get into a "track meet" with the Saints, so it's safe to say that the Chiefs will be looking to slow this one down and control the tempo, keeping Drew Brees off the field of play for as long possible. Play the UNDER.
AAA Sports
