PREMIUM
AAA's ALL EARLY 3-GM TOTALS REPORT (100% w/ TOTAL REPORT, INSANE 26-11, 70% RUN!)
(NFL) Washington vs. Detroit,
Total: 50.00 | -115.00 Over
Result: Win
Total: 50.00 | -115.00 Over
Result: Win
This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Washington Redskins and the Detroit Lions.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant O/U ATS statistics:
Note that Washington has seen the total go UNDER the number in two of its last three "dome" games and in three of its last five when playing the role of underdog, while Detroit has seen the total go UNDER the number in 11 of its last 19 as a favorite (inc. in two of three this year) and in seven of its last ten after two or more consecutive SU victories.
The bottom line: The Redskins come in off four straight wins. With a date at Cincinnati next weekend, before its bye, Washington no doubt is playing through a very tough part of its schedule right now and we think the team is poised for a bit of a mental lapse this week. The Lions are off back-to-back victories and face a tough two game road trip after this contest, at Houston and Minnesota respectively, before then enjoying their bye-week. Washington has been getting the job done with its run game, so we can expect the visitors to continue that trend from start to finish today as well. Strong situational factors combined with strong O/U ATS statistics do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant O/U ATS statistics:
Note that Washington has seen the total go UNDER the number in two of its last three "dome" games and in three of its last five when playing the role of underdog, while Detroit has seen the total go UNDER the number in 11 of its last 19 as a favorite (inc. in two of three this year) and in seven of its last ten after two or more consecutive SU victories.
The bottom line: The Redskins come in off four straight wins. With a date at Cincinnati next weekend, before its bye, Washington no doubt is playing through a very tough part of its schedule right now and we think the team is poised for a bit of a mental lapse this week. The Lions are off back-to-back victories and face a tough two game road trip after this contest, at Houston and Minnesota respectively, before then enjoying their bye-week. Washington has been getting the job done with its run game, so we can expect the visitors to continue that trend from start to finish today as well. Strong situational factors combined with strong O/U ATS statistics do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
