AAA's ALL EARLY 3-GM TOTALS REPORT (100% w/ TOTAL REPORT, INSANE 26-11, 70% RUN!)
(NFL) Indianapolis vs. Tennessee,
Total: 48.00 | -115.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Indianapolis Colts and the Tennessee Titans.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant O/U ATS statistics:

Note that Indianapolis has seen the total go UNDER the number in two of its last three off a loss against a division rival, while Tennessee has seen the total dip below the posted number in 17 of its last 27 when the total in the contest is set between 42.5 and 49 points.

The bottom line: This game has massive implications for these division rivals, as Indianpolis is 2-4 right now, with Tennessee at 3-3. So as such, we're expecting an all out war from start to finish, which we feel will result in more of a "chess match," rather than a "track meet." Play on the UNDER.

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