PREMIUM
AAA's 10* ASSASSIN - 9-1 +$8.6K ALL PICKS Sat/Sun, Now +$11,240 ALL NFL YTD!
(NFL) Houston vs. Denver,
Total: 40.50 | -111.00 Over
Result: Win
Total: 40.50 | -111.00 Over
Result: Win
This is a 10* TOTAL ASSASSIN on the UNDER between the Houston Texans and the Denver Broncos.
REASONING: Houston upset Indianapolis 26-23 in OT last week. The Texans erased a 14 point deficit with less than three minutes to play to force the extra quarter. It was a big emotional win over a division rival, setting the visitors up perfectly for a letdown this week. Houston's offense is bad, it averages just 18 PPG, ranked 31st in the NFL. If ever Denver was going to be "up" to play an opponent, it would surely be against Houston and its QB Brock Osweiler, who left the Broncos in the offseason. Denver has lost two straight and will be in a foul mood tonight and we're expecting its Super Bowl winning defense to be on top form. Note that the Broncos allow an average of 18 PPG, ranked seventh overall. But the reason Denver has dropped two in a row has not been because of its defensive play, but rather its been because of the struggling offense, which could only post 13 points against a poor Chargers defense last week. Trevor Siemian returned from injury and was unspectacular, finishing with 230 yards and a TD. Houston's defense has been its strength, allowing an average of just 21.2 PPG, ranked 12th overall. Note that Houston has seen the total go UNDER the number in nine of its last 14 against teams with winning records, while Denver has seen the total go UNDER in eight of its last 12 following a divisional contest. Neither of these QB's can produce unless his run game is "firing on all cylinders," so each side will be looking to establish the ground attack throughout. This one has the feel of a "chess match," rather than a "track meet." Play the UNDER.
AAA Sports
REASONING: Houston upset Indianapolis 26-23 in OT last week. The Texans erased a 14 point deficit with less than three minutes to play to force the extra quarter. It was a big emotional win over a division rival, setting the visitors up perfectly for a letdown this week. Houston's offense is bad, it averages just 18 PPG, ranked 31st in the NFL. If ever Denver was going to be "up" to play an opponent, it would surely be against Houston and its QB Brock Osweiler, who left the Broncos in the offseason. Denver has lost two straight and will be in a foul mood tonight and we're expecting its Super Bowl winning defense to be on top form. Note that the Broncos allow an average of 18 PPG, ranked seventh overall. But the reason Denver has dropped two in a row has not been because of its defensive play, but rather its been because of the struggling offense, which could only post 13 points against a poor Chargers defense last week. Trevor Siemian returned from injury and was unspectacular, finishing with 230 yards and a TD. Houston's defense has been its strength, allowing an average of just 21.2 PPG, ranked 12th overall. Note that Houston has seen the total go UNDER the number in nine of its last 14 against teams with winning records, while Denver has seen the total go UNDER in eight of its last 12 following a divisional contest. Neither of these QB's can produce unless his run game is "firing on all cylinders," so each side will be looking to establish the ground attack throughout. This one has the feel of a "chess match," rather than a "track meet." Play the UNDER.
AAA Sports
