PREMIUM
AAA's POTATO BOWL TOTAL "ASSASSIN!" (HIT UNDER IN POINSETTIA YESTERDAY!)
(NCAAF) Idaho vs. Colorado State,
Total: 65.00 | -115.00 Over
Result: Loss
Total: 65.00 | -115.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is an 8* TOTAL ASSASSIN on the UNDER between Colorado State and Idaho.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:
As note that Colorado State has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last six when playing with two or more weeks of rest and in 10 of its last 13 non-conference games (including in all four this season), while Idaho has seen the total go UNDER in three of its last five when playing with two weeks of rest.
The bottom line: We think that "rest" leads to "rust" for these two teams and this one sneaks UNDER once it's all said and done.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:
As note that Colorado State has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last six when playing with two or more weeks of rest and in 10 of its last 13 non-conference games (including in all four this season), while Idaho has seen the total go UNDER in three of its last five when playing with two weeks of rest.
The bottom line: We think that "rest" leads to "rust" for these two teams and this one sneaks UNDER once it's all said and done.
AAA Sports
