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AAA's 10* X-MAS TOP TOTAL (UNLOAD w/ CONFIDENCE, TOP RATED 10* FOR JUST $25!)
(NBA) Minnesota vs. Oklahoma City,
Total: 211.00 | -107.00 Over
Result: Loss
Total: 211.00 | -107.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a 10* TOP TOTAL on the UNDER between the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Oklahoma City Thunder.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:
As note that Minnesota has seen the total go UNDER the number in three of four this year as a road dog of 3.5 to six points and in nine of 15 against clubs with winning records, while OKC has seen the total go UNDER in four of six as a home fav of 3.5 to six points and in both games this season off an upset win as an underdog.
The bottom line: We've unfortunately been saddled with a poor early line (204.5), but regardless, we still love this pick. It's difficult to play on Christmas Day for obvious reasons and when also taking into account these strong O/U trends listed above that each has exhibited in this position, all signs do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this one.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:
As note that Minnesota has seen the total go UNDER the number in three of four this year as a road dog of 3.5 to six points and in nine of 15 against clubs with winning records, while OKC has seen the total go UNDER in four of six as a home fav of 3.5 to six points and in both games this season off an upset win as an underdog.
The bottom line: We've unfortunately been saddled with a poor early line (204.5), but regardless, we still love this pick. It's difficult to play on Christmas Day for obvious reasons and when also taking into account these strong O/U trends listed above that each has exhibited in this position, all signs do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this one.
AAA Sports
