AAA's 10* EAST-CONF GAME OF WEEK (+$6,000 ALL NHL YTD, 8-0 "GOW" RUN!)
(NHL) Toronto vs. Florida,
Money Line: -126.00 Florida (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* EASTERN-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE WEEK on the Florida Panthers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Toronto is just 5-12 (-6 units) when playing with three or more days rest and only 3-6 (-3.6 units) following a victory by two goals or more, while Florida is 57-48 (+14.1 units) in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent and 6-3 (+2.8 units) this year after allowing four goals or more.

The bottom line: The Panthers return from the break on a two-game slide and they're also out to avenge a brutal 6-1 loss to the Leafs in mid November. We think the visitors get caught looking ahead to their game in Tampa Bay tomorrow night and all things considered, we do indeed feel we're getting great line value in this one. Play on FLORIDA.

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