AAA's *30-STAR* MID-WEEK TOTALS REPORT (OFF 2-0 10* NBA TUESDAY SWEEP!)
(NBA) New Orleans vs. Detroit,
Total: 213.00 | -105.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a 10* play on the UNDER between the New Orleans Pelicans and the Detroit Pistons.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that New Orleans has seen the total go UNDER the number in 14 of 21 on the road this year and in 15 of 22 non-conference games, while Detroit has seen the total go UNDER in five of seven this year after three or more consecutive losses and in 12 of 20 non-conference games.

The bottom line: The Pelicans come off a deflating 108-106 loss in Toronto just last night. We're expecting these teams to run a lot of half court sets on offense as well. When also taking into account the very strong O/U trends listed above, all signs do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.

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