AAA's *30-STAR* MID-WEEK TOTALS REPORT (OFF 2-0 10* NBA TUESDAY SWEEP!)
(NBA) Philadelphia vs. Dallas,
Total: 203.00 | -105.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a 10* play on the UNDER between the Philadelphia 76ers and the Dallas Mavericks.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that Philadelphia has seen the total go UNDER the number in ten of 17 this year after scoring 105 points or more and in 13 of 22 against teams with losing records, while Dallas has seen the total go UNDER in seven of ten off an upset win as an underdog and in 13 of 19 against clubs with losing records.

The bottom line: Both teams seemed primed for a letdown here, as Philadelphia came from behind to knock off the Kings without star Joel Embiid in the line-up (he'll also miss tonight's contest) in its last game, while the Mavs beat the the Cavs at home. Dallas features one of the best defenses in the entire league. All signs do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports