PREMIUM
10* BIG-12 "ASSASSIN" (+$13K ALL CBB YTD!)
(NCAAB) Iowa State vs. West Virginia,
Point Spread: -7.50 | -110.00 West Virginia (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: -7.50 | -110.00 West Virginia (Home)
Result: Win
My 10* ASSASSIN is on West Virginia.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:
As note that Iowa State is just 3-4 ATS this year after allowing 80 points or more and only 2-4 ATS in its last six against good offensive teams which allow 77-plus points per contest, while WVU is 7-4 ATS this year against good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest and 2-1 ATS in its last three against schools with a winning record.
The bottom line: WVU beat Iowa State earlier in the year, but the Mountaineers come into their final home game (senior night) having lost three straight ATS and also losing outright 71-62 to Baylor in their last outing. Iowa State looks poised for a letdown here after six straight wins. The home side will be much more "hungry" in this one, play on WEST VIRGINIA.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:
As note that Iowa State is just 3-4 ATS this year after allowing 80 points or more and only 2-4 ATS in its last six against good offensive teams which allow 77-plus points per contest, while WVU is 7-4 ATS this year against good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest and 2-1 ATS in its last three against schools with a winning record.
The bottom line: WVU beat Iowa State earlier in the year, but the Mountaineers come into their final home game (senior night) having lost three straight ATS and also losing outright 71-62 to Baylor in their last outing. Iowa State looks poised for a letdown here after six straight wins. The home side will be much more "hungry" in this one, play on WEST VIRGINIA.
AAA Sports
