PREMIUM
LATE BREAKING WED AFTERNOON 3-GAME PAC-12 REPORT (+$10,500 CBB YTD!)
(NCAAB) Oregon State vs. California,
Point Spread: -15.00 | -106.00 California (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: -15.00 | -106.00 California (Home)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* play on California.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:
As note that Oregon State is 0-4 ATS in its last four in trying to revenge a blowout loss of 20 points or more against an opponent and just 3-5 ATS after allowing 80 points or more, while California is 3-1 ATS in its last four after back-to-back SU/ATS losses.
The bottom line: The Beavers are horrible, just 1-17 in conference play. The Golden Bears weren't perfect, as they'd finish 10-8 in league action. But Cal is certainly a whole lot better that OSU and we're expecting it to notch a third straight victory over the Beavers this season. OSU averages 60.1 PPG and allows 76.6 in conference play. Cal averages 66.2 PPG and allows 64.2. We have a hard time seeing Oregon State mustering any sort of offensive attack against what should be a very hungry CAL team looking to make some noise in the Pac 12 tournament.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:
As note that Oregon State is 0-4 ATS in its last four in trying to revenge a blowout loss of 20 points or more against an opponent and just 3-5 ATS after allowing 80 points or more, while California is 3-1 ATS in its last four after back-to-back SU/ATS losses.
The bottom line: The Beavers are horrible, just 1-17 in conference play. The Golden Bears weren't perfect, as they'd finish 10-8 in league action. But Cal is certainly a whole lot better that OSU and we're expecting it to notch a third straight victory over the Beavers this season. OSU averages 60.1 PPG and allows 76.6 in conference play. Cal averages 66.2 PPG and allows 64.2. We have a hard time seeing Oregon State mustering any sort of offensive attack against what should be a very hungry CAL team looking to make some noise in the Pac 12 tournament.
AAA Sports
