10* SUN-BELT SUPER-BLOWOUT (+$8K YTD!)
(NCAAB) Troy vs. Georgia Southern,
Point Spread: 1.00 | -106.00 Georgia Southern (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* SUPER-BLOWOUT on Georgia Southern.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Troy is just 4-6 ATS this year off a win against a conference rival and just 7-16 ATS in its last 23 when playing the role of favorite, wihle Georgia Southern is 4-2 ATS off a loss against a conference rival and 9-5 ATS in its last 14 when trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent.

The bottom line: We think this is great from a scheduling stand point for the Eagles as well, as they enjoyed a first round bye in the Sun Belt conference tournament opening round. Troy comes in off an 84-64 win over App State on Wednesday and we think it will have a predictable letdown here. Georgia Southern would split the season series with the Trojans, taking the first meeting at home 86-82 and we think the rested EAGLES can duplicate that perfomance in this one as well. Play on Georgia Southern.

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