PREMIUM
3-GAME OPENING NIGHT NCAA REPORT (3-0 CHAMPIONSHIP SUNDAY & +$10,000 CBB YTD!)
(NCAAB) Xavier vs. Maryland,
Point Spread: -1.50 | -110.00 Maryland (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: -1.50 | -110.00 Maryland (Home)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* play on Maryland.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
As note that Xavier is just 2-7 ATS this year off a loss against a conference rival and only 1-3 ATS in its last four non-conference games, while Maryland is 3-1 ATS in its last four non-conference contests and 2-1 ATS off a loss against a conference rival.
The bottom line: Xavier struggled down the stretch, winning just three of its last ten games. Maryland can empathize, it's lost six of its last ten. The Musketeers average 73.7 PPG and allowed 69 PPG in neutral court affairs this season. Overall though Xavier allowed 77.1 over its last eight games and averaged just 68.4 in the same span. The Terrapins have averaged 77.2 PPG and allowed 73.5 on neutral court contests this year. Overall Maryland averages 74.2 PPG and allows just 67.8. Xavier has struggled after some late injuries and while Maryland has been far from perfect, we think the TERRAPINS' superior defensive play will turn out to be the difference in the end.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
As note that Xavier is just 2-7 ATS this year off a loss against a conference rival and only 1-3 ATS in its last four non-conference games, while Maryland is 3-1 ATS in its last four non-conference contests and 2-1 ATS off a loss against a conference rival.
The bottom line: Xavier struggled down the stretch, winning just three of its last ten games. Maryland can empathize, it's lost six of its last ten. The Musketeers average 73.7 PPG and allowed 69 PPG in neutral court affairs this season. Overall though Xavier allowed 77.1 over its last eight games and averaged just 68.4 in the same span. The Terrapins have averaged 77.2 PPG and allowed 73.5 on neutral court contests this year. Overall Maryland averages 74.2 PPG and allows just 67.8. Xavier has struggled after some late injuries and while Maryland has been far from perfect, we think the TERRAPINS' superior defensive play will turn out to be the difference in the end.
AAA Sports
