PREMIUM
10* AFTERNOON NCAA TOURNEY "ASSASSIN!" (+$10,000 ALL CBB YTD!)
(NCAAB) USC vs. Southern Methodist,
Point Spread: -6.50 | -102.00 Southern Methodist (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: -6.50 | -102.00 Southern Methodist (Home)
Result: Loss
My 10* ASSASSIN on SMU.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
As note that USC is just 2-3 ATS in all tournament games this year and only 1-4 ATS against good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less, while SMU is 16-3 ATS this year after a conference game, 3-2 ATS in neutral court affairs and 17-2 ATS against teams with winning records.
The bottom line: We had a play on USC in the FIRST FOUR and it would need an epic come from behind victory to beat Providence. Suffice it to say, we're expecting a predictable letdown here. We also had SMU in the AAC Tournament title game and suffice it to say once again, we believe the team builds off its impressive tournament victory. The Mustangs finished with a 17-1 conference record and are battle tested. USC averages 78.6 PPG and allows 73.1. But as mentioned off the top, we think the Trojans come in "gassed" here. SMU averages 74.5 PPG and allows just 59.8, ranked third in the country. For all the reasons listed above, we're riding SMU and its suffocating defense on Friday afternoon.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
As note that USC is just 2-3 ATS in all tournament games this year and only 1-4 ATS against good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less, while SMU is 16-3 ATS this year after a conference game, 3-2 ATS in neutral court affairs and 17-2 ATS against teams with winning records.
The bottom line: We had a play on USC in the FIRST FOUR and it would need an epic come from behind victory to beat Providence. Suffice it to say, we're expecting a predictable letdown here. We also had SMU in the AAC Tournament title game and suffice it to say once again, we believe the team builds off its impressive tournament victory. The Mustangs finished with a 17-1 conference record and are battle tested. USC averages 78.6 PPG and allows 73.1. But as mentioned off the top, we think the Trojans come in "gassed" here. SMU averages 74.5 PPG and allows just 59.8, ranked third in the country. For all the reasons listed above, we're riding SMU and its suffocating defense on Friday afternoon.
AAA Sports
