PREMIUM
NON-CONFERENCE ASSASSIN (+$3.5K NBA s/ ALL STAR BREAK)
(NBA) Minnesota vs. Miami,
Point Spread: 4.50 | -105.00 Minnesota (Away)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 4.50 | -105.00 Minnesota (Away)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* NON-CONFERENCE ASSASSIN on the Minnesota Timberwolves.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
As note that the Wolves are already 12-8 ATS this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent and 12-5 ATS after allowign 115 points or more, while Miami is interestingly just 3-4 ATS against the Northwest division this year.
The bottom line: Minnesota comes in hungry after a 117-104 setback at Boston on Wednesday. The Heat continued their hot run with a 120-112 home win over the Pelicans on Wednesday. The Wolves average 104.9 PPG and allow 104.9. The Heat average 102.6 PPG and allow 101.8. The Wolves aren't going to be rolling over today, this one means just as much to them as it does to the Heat. The revenge factor is working in our favor, we're expecting a back and forth battle which is decided in the closing momemts. Grab the points, play on MINNESOTA.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
As note that the Wolves are already 12-8 ATS this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent and 12-5 ATS after allowign 115 points or more, while Miami is interestingly just 3-4 ATS against the Northwest division this year.
The bottom line: Minnesota comes in hungry after a 117-104 setback at Boston on Wednesday. The Heat continued their hot run with a 120-112 home win over the Pelicans on Wednesday. The Wolves average 104.9 PPG and allow 104.9. The Heat average 102.6 PPG and allow 101.8. The Wolves aren't going to be rolling over today, this one means just as much to them as it does to the Heat. The revenge factor is working in our favor, we're expecting a back and forth battle which is decided in the closing momemts. Grab the points, play on MINNESOTA.
AAA Sports
