NHL SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION (+$4.5K NHL YTD!)
(NHL) Buffalo vs. Anaheim,
Money Line: -208.00 Anaheim (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 5* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Anaheim Ducks (10:05 EST).

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that Buffalo is just 5-9 (-2.8 units) this season when playing on back-to-back days and only 6-10 (-1.9 units) in revenging a home loss against an opponent, while Anaheim is 4-1 (+2.7 units) in its last five against teams with losing records.

The bottom line: Buffalo lost 2-0 in LA just last night and comes in gassed, the second to last game in a longer road trip. Previous to last night's setback the Sabres had dropped nine of 11. Anaheim is clearly now trending in the opposite direction as it sets its sights at another playoff run, winning four of its last five, most recently a hard-fought 2-1 victory over the Blues. Buffalo averages 2.53 GPG and allows 2.87. Sabres' goalie Anders Nilsson will get the call in the back-to-back scenario, he's 2-11 with a 3.26 GAA on the road and 1-1 with a 3.96 GAA lifetime against Anaheim. The Ducks average 2.58 GPG and allow 2.49. Jonathan Bernier is 8-2 with a 2.00 GAA at home. Buffalo has allowed 21 goals over its last five games, which doesn't bode well against this surging Ducks side. Lay the price with confidence, play on ANAHEIM.

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