PREMIUM
AAA's (12:10 EST FIRST TIP) 5-PLAY NCAA TOURNEY TOTAL PACK!
(NCAAB) Michigan vs. Louisville,
Total: 141.00 | -108.00 Over
Result: Loss
Total: 141.00 | -108.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is an 8* play on the UNDER between Michigan and Louisville.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
As note that Michigan has seen the total go UNDER the number in three of its last four neutral court games where the total is set between 140 and 144.5, while Louisville has seen the total dip UNDER the number in ten of 12 non-conference games (also in five of its last nine after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games).
The bottom line: The Wolverines continue to find ways to win and pulled off the 92-91 victory over Oklahoma State in the first round, while Louisville rolled to a relatively simple 78-63 victory over Jacksonville State on Friday. It's been a wild ride for each up to this point, but all signs finally point to fatigue playing a factor. Coupled with the strong Over/Under trends listed above, the savvy move in this one is indeed on the UNDER.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
As note that Michigan has seen the total go UNDER the number in three of its last four neutral court games where the total is set between 140 and 144.5, while Louisville has seen the total dip UNDER the number in ten of 12 non-conference games (also in five of its last nine after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games).
The bottom line: The Wolverines continue to find ways to win and pulled off the 92-91 victory over Oklahoma State in the first round, while Louisville rolled to a relatively simple 78-63 victory over Jacksonville State on Friday. It's been a wild ride for each up to this point, but all signs finally point to fatigue playing a factor. Coupled with the strong Over/Under trends listed above, the savvy move in this one is indeed on the UNDER.
AAA Sports
