10* NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP GAME "BIG TIGER!"
(NCAAB) Gonzaga vs. North Carolina,
Point Spread: -1.50 | -110.00 North Carolina (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on North Carolina.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that UNC is 6-3 ATS in all tournament games this year and 4-2 ATS against good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest, while Gonzaga is just 4-6 ATS in all tournament games this season and only 1-2 ATS in its last three against good offensive teams which score 77 plus points per contest after fifteen-plus games.

The bottom line: Gonzaga has faced South Dakota State, Northwestern, WVU, Xavier and South Carolina to make it to this point. That's not exactly "murder's row." Nigel Williams-Goss (16.7 PPG) will create some matchup issues for the Tar Heels, but we think that UNC is battle tested and simply too talented offensively to be denied tonight. The Tar Heels beat Texas Southern, Arkansas, Butler, Kentucky and Oregon to make it to this point. They say "defense wins championships," but we've always thought that addage pertains more to the gridiron than to the hardwood. We're going with the better offensive club, play on the TAR HEELS.

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