AAA's 10* FRIDAY NIGHT SUPER TOTAL (HIT TOP NON-CONF TOTAL L/FRIDAY!)
(NCAAF) Illinois vs. USF,
Total: 55.50 | -110.00 Under
Result: Win
This is a 10* SUPER TOTAL on the OVER between Illinois and South Florida.

For a number of different reasons, we believe this number is a little low.

Illinois: The Illini looked sharp in their 20-7 win over WKU last week. Illinois had a 300-244 yardage advantage over the Hilltoppers. So far Illinois has struggled offensively, ranked 100th in the FBS by averaging 22 PPG. The defense has so far allowed only 14 PPG, ranked 28th overall, but clearly the unit faces its stiffest test of the young season.

South Florida: USF's game against UConn was delayed last week due to Hurricane Irma. In their previous game the Bulls would outscore Stony Brook 24-7 in the second half for the decisive victory. So far USF is 43rd overall in scoring with 36.5 PPG, while ranked 50th in allowing 19.5. QB Quinton Flowers is 30 off 55 overall for 400 yards with four TD's and one INT, as well as adding 137 yards and a TD on the ground.

The bottom line: Note that Illinois has seen the total go OVER the number in two of its last three when playing on six or less days rest, while USF has seen the total go OVER the number in three of its last four following a layoff of two weeks or more. All signs point to this one going OVER as the game comes down the stretch.

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