Oklahoma has been playing at a very high level, but now they come in to take on a Villanova squad that's playing as strong as they ever have as of late. Villanova has been scoring +5 points/game than in regular season and tightening it up on the defensive side also. Head Coach Jay Wright is putting in a renewed emphasis on playing more sound, and fundamental basketball in their recent games. Especially at the offensive end, Josh Hart has been on a tear with his stroke from behind the arc, and this will be no more than a tune-up game for the championship for them.

The Sooners made 47% of their shots back in December when they beat Villanova and also hit 54% of their 3 pt shots while the Wildcats had an off day shooting just 31% overall and making just 12% of their 3 pointers(4-32). I dont see that happening today.

In their last 7 games the Wildcats held all 7 foes to under 70 points and even more impressive they held those 7 teams to 10 ppg under their season scoring average.

This Oklahoma team lacks the elite level of defense that last year's group had, and that hurts them in their run stopping game. They are still a very good team, but here, vs Villanova, is a different set of conditions.
Lastly the Sooners are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 NCAA Tournament games and Villanova will be too much for them this evening. Villanova by 10.