GUARANTEED The Shocker side is on the San Francisco 49ers. Game 329 at 4:25 eastern. This is alot of points to give a San Francisco team that still has plenty of pieces. Lets look at the data in this one. Digging through the database we were extremely curious to see how a road team would respond as a road dog, if they were of a road favored loss at -7 or more in a game they should have won. Since 1989 these road dogs responded big, going 8-3 straight up and 11-0 ats. The Niners as a team are 10-0 ats on the road off a road favored loss since 1992. After failing to cover in 2 of the last 3 games they have come back to go 8-0 ats. In fact all dogs of 2 or more off any favored loss at -7 or more are 49-16 to the spread if they allowed 27 or less points. Seattle dominated statistically and had a +3 turnover margin in that Turkey day win and the tide should turn a bit here. Not saying they win, but San Francisco catches Seattle a little flat footed and hang around for the cover.



BONUS: On Sunday the NFL Totals Play is on the Over in the San Francisco at Seattle game. Rotation numbers 329/330 at 4:25 eastern. This game fits a short turn around system we use that reverses the result of the total from the first meeting if the two teams played within 2-3 weeks of their last matchup. On Thanksgiving these two played to a total of 22 points. This game should produce more points and the total is set low here today. Seattle has played over 8 of 8 off a win if they were losing by 7 or more after the first quarter and 10 straight times on Sunday in games where the total is 38.5 or less. We will also play over for road teams in the 2nd of back to back games if they are a dog of 7 or more and scored less than their season average in the last 2 games and punted 4 or more times in both of those games. These teams have flown over 33 of 38 times. Seattle has gone over 20 of 20 at home when the total is 35.5 to 38 and the Niners are 7 of 9 over in the last 4 weeks and 7 of 9 over as a dog. Take the over today.