The set-up: WKU has just one win on the year (against lowly Ball State) and it comes in having lost four in a row. MTSU will look to take advantage and to build off back-to-back wins over ODU and Charlotte.

The teams: WKU is averaging only 19.8 PPPG and it's allowing 30. The Hilltoppers are now essentially eliminated from bowl contention and with that fact weighing heavily on the team collectively, I'm expecting a predictable letdown here.

MTSU QB Brent Stockstill will look to build off another efficient game, last week going for 280 yards with two TD's and one INT. RB Terell West exploded for 120 yards and a major score as well.

The pick: Note as well that the Blue Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last five against teams with losing records (the home team is also 4-0 ATS in the last four in this series), while WKU is just 4-11-1 ATS in its last 16 following a SU loss. This one has "blowout" written all over it. Lay the points.