The set-up: If recent history is any precedence then Purdue has to be liking it chances today, because it would win this matchup last year on the road by a score of 24-15. Iowa comes in off a 30-24 loss to Penn State, while Purdue lost 23-13 to MSU on the road last weekend.

The teams: Iowa is averaging 29.8 PPG and conceding 16.1. QB Nate Stanley had a horrible game against PSU, going for 20 yards with no TD's and two INT's.

Purdue is averaging 32.9 PPG and it's allowing 22.8. Previous to last week's loss at Michigan State, QB David Blough and the Boilermakers' offense ha score 40-plus points in each of their previous three victories.

The pick: Take it for what you will as all, but Purdue is 8-2 ATS in its last ten after allowing more than 280 passing yards in its previous game, while Iowa is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after allowing 30 points or more. I like the Boilermakers to bounce back at home after last week's tough road loss. Lay the points.