The set-up: After back-to-back losses, the Dukes will once again be pushed from start to finish vs. the high-flying Dayton Flyers. Duquesne most recently fell 70-67 at home to George Washington. Dayton enters off a 66-61 win over VCU, it's 15th straight victory. Dayton had to hold on for dear life the first time these team's met, eventually pulling away for a 73-69 road win on January 29th.

The pick: Despite some recent lower-scoring games of late for each team, note that the Dukes still average 70.8 PPG, while the Flyers average 80.6. Duquesne has now seen the total go over the number in three of its last four as an underdog, while Dayton has seen the total soar over in seven of its last ten as a home favorite. I'm banking on a shootout, not a chess match.

10* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the OVER Duquesne/Dayton.