T.M. Selection: James Madison vs Western Kentucky - OVER

I am on the OVER in the James Madison vs Western Kentucky game on Wednesday. The Dukes are favored by a TD here and that is with the knowledge of their QB situation. That is why I expect plenty of points here because the Hilltoppers starting QB is projected to play and this team can move the ball consistently well for long stretches. I look for that to be the case in this game and that will force James Madison to respond and they still have the talent on offense to do so. The Dukes rushing attack will give the rather weak Western Kentucky defense issues here. The Dukes - and I am excluding the Double-OT points from season finale - averaged scoring 33 points per game this season. The Hilltoppers gave up 52 points in their most recent game and this followed an 8-3 run with Western Kentucky scoring 29 points a game on average in those 11 games. With numbers like this I am all over the value with this total coming down to near 50 after being in the mid-fifties originally.

T.M. Prediction: 34-27 James Madison

Line: O/U 50.5