AAA's *30 STAR* BLACK FRIDAY NBA REPORT (BREAK OUT THE BROOMS!)
(NBA) New Orleans vs. Portland, 11/25/2016 5:00 PM, Score: 104 - 119
Point Spread: -4.00 | -110.00 Portland (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* play on the Portland Trailblazers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant ATS statistics:

As note that New Orleans is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten after three or more consecutive SU victories and only 11-13 ATS in its last 24 as a road dog of 3.5 to six points, while Portland is 13-7 ATS in its last 20 as a home fav of 3.5 to six points.

The bottom line: This is a "revenge" game for the struggling Blazers. The Pelicans have turned things around of late, but we think this one sets up as a classic letdown spot for the visitors today. Combined with what should be a superhuman effort from the home side tonight as it looks to get off the schneid and back to its winning ways, all signs do indeed point to PORTLAND as the savvy move in this contest.

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