PREMIUM
AAA's ALL EARLY 3-GAME CFB REPORT (BREAK OUT THE BROOMS!)
(NCAAF) Michigan State vs. Penn State,
11/26/2016 10:30 AM, Score: 12 - 45
Total: 55.50 | 105.00 Over
Result: Loss
Total: 55.50 | 105.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is an 8* play on the UNDER between Michigan State and Penn State.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant O/U ATS statistics:
Note that Michigan State has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of eight against conference opponents already this year and in three of four against teams with winning records (also in four of its last six off a loss against a conference rival), while Penn State has seen the total go UNDER in eight of its last 14 off a win against a conference rival and in six of its last ten against teams with losing records.
The bottom line: Expect these division rivals to battle until the final whistle and for this total to indeed sneak UNDER the posted number.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant O/U ATS statistics:
Note that Michigan State has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of eight against conference opponents already this year and in three of four against teams with winning records (also in four of its last six off a loss against a conference rival), while Penn State has seen the total go UNDER in eight of its last 14 off a win against a conference rival and in six of its last ten against teams with losing records.
The bottom line: Expect these division rivals to battle until the final whistle and for this total to indeed sneak UNDER the posted number.
AAA Sports
