BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT (LAY IT & CA$H IT!)
(MLB) Seattle vs. Cleveland, 04/28/2017 3:10 PM, Score: 3 - 1
Money Line: -183.00 Cleveland (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 5* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the Cleveland Indians.

Sometimes a favorite is a favorite for a reason and in this case, we feel that Carlos Carrasco and the home side could easily be much larger ones. This is the opener of a new series. The M's come in off a satisfying 2-1 win in Detroit last night, while the Tribe will be eager to build off last night's 4-3 victory over the Astros.

Ariel Miranda: He's 1-2 with a 4.35 ERA. Most recently he allowed four runs off seven hits while striking out three in a loss to the A's on Saturday. So far he's been all over the map as far as his game-to-game consistency, with two poor outings and one great one. Note that he was 4-0 with a 3.16 ERA at home last year, compared to just 1-2 with a 5.14 ERA on the road.

Carrasco: He's 2-1 with a 1.65 ERA. He most recently went eight scoreless, giving up three hits and one walk while also posting eight K's in a victory over the White Sox on Saturday. So far he sports a 0.80 WHIP and has struck out 27 batters through 27.1 innings of work.

The bottom line: Note that Carrasco was particularly effective in this spot last year, going 9-5 with a 3.87 ERA in all "night" games. We have a hard time seeing the Mariners' inconsistent offense mustering much of anything in this matchup, so lay the price with confidence. Play on the INDIANS.

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